₿BitCoinBettingKalshi · 15m

Research · Phase 1 D0

Research Dashboard

Read-only status for collector health, data quality, settlement capabilities, fee scenarios, and the S01–S23 strategy catalog. No live trading. Simulations are not available until Phase 2.

ACTUAL_HISTORICAL_OBSERVATIONSHYPOTHETICAL_SIMULATIONS_NOT_AVAILABLE_UNTIL_PHASE_2ESTIMATED_NOT_ACCOUNT_RECONCILED

asOfUtc 2026-10-31T13:56:20.108Z

Collector

live=true
Mode
rest_fallback
Poll
3000 ms
Open gaps
0

Collector controls are read-only here; research cannot restart capture

Readiness

full_backtesting

Enough full-coverage windows and validated fees for structured backtests (engine may still be planned)

Windows examined
96
Full quote
94
Partial
2
Observations
84901

Fees

kalshi-kxbtc15m-schedule-verified-2026-10-28 · schedule_verified

  • kalshi_order_accumulator_direct
  • kalshi_order_accumulator_nondirect

Show both direct and nondirect estimated nets side by side; single-figure summaries use the verified lower net (conservative), not an assumed nondirect default

accountReconciled=false

Settlement

  • A Official outcome-based P&L available
  • B Exact reference-price reconstruction blocked
  • C Proxy-based exploratory modeling partial

reconstruction=unavailable · CF unauthorized_not_purchased

Data quality (stored vs computed)

Policy quality-policy-v1-2026-10-29. Stored grades are never silently upgraded. REST polling cannot produce full_event_capture.

MarketStoredComputedObsBacktest?
KXBTC15M-26OCT311015-15partial_timeseriespartial_timeseries6no
KXBTC15M-26OCT311000-00partial_timeseriespartial_timeseries221no
KXBTC15M-26OCT310945-45partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture303yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310930-30partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture296yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310915-15partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture300yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310900-00partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture300yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310845-45partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture300yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310830-30partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture310yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310815-15partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture290yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310800-00partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture299yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310745-45partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture303yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310730-30partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture297yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310715-15partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture300yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310700-00partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture303yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310645-45partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture296yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310630-30partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture308yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310615-15partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture300yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310600-00partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture297yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310545-45partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture303yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310530-30partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture294yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310515-15partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture297yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310500-00partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture308yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310445-45partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture298yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310430-30partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture297yes
KXBTC15M-26OCT310415-15partial_timeseriesfull_quote_capture296yes

Strategy catalog (S01–S23)

strategy-registry-v1-2026-10-29 · 23 entries · statuses {"planned":18,"blocked_missing_data":4,"future_not_implemented":1}

IDNameStatusPhase
S01Cheap-leg sequential hedgeplanned2
S02Crossover-filtered hedgeplanned3
S03Crossover direction continuationplanned3
S04Crossover failure / whipsawplanned3
S05BTC short-horizon momentumplanned3
S06EMA crossoverplanned3
S07MACDplanned3
S08RSI mean reversionplanned3
S09Bollinger / z-score reversalplanned3
S10Range breakoutplanned3
S11Momentum exhaustionplanned3
S12Volatility regime filterplanned3
S13Threshold-distance / time modelblocked_missing_data3
S14Calibrated probability / valueplanned4
S15Late-window settlementblocked_missing_data6
S16Native order-book imbalanceplanned3
S17Maker quote / maker-taker hedgeblocked_missing_data6
S18Cross-market consistencyblocked_missing_data6
S19Regime ensembleplanned4
S20Abstention / no-trade benchmarkplanned2
S21Random and naive benchmarksplanned2
S22Meta-label / ML filterplanned6
S23Cross-venue lead/lag (future)future_not_implemented—

Frozen datasets

storageIsolated=true

research=/app/data/research/research.sqlite

  • No frozen datasets yet — POST /api/v2/research/datasets/freeze

Research tools

Implemented MCP: 19

Planned MCP: 17

  • GET /api/v2/research/overview
  • GET /api/v2/research/datasets
  • POST /api/v2/research/datasets/freeze
  • GET /api/v2/research/settlement
  • GET /api/v2/research/strategies

Warnings / blocked

  • fees_schedule_verified_estimated_net_only
  • poll_ms_3000_density_targets_assume_configured_interval
  • data_may_support_structured_backtests_but_walk_forward_tools_are_planned_not_callable
  • Phase 2 simulator not shipped — no simulated fills on this dashboard yet
  • full_event_capture unavailable while WS event capture is stubbed
  • Capability B (CF reconstruction) blocked until authorized data
  • S13 blocked_missing_data
  • S15 blocked_missing_data
  • S17 blocked_missing_data
  • S18 blocked_missing_data
  • S23 future_not_implemented